Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.241901 0.265641 0.289858 0.316360 0.344497 0.373432 0.405389
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.216577 0.250511 0.286324 0.326772 0.371022 0.417803 0.470840
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.193424 0.234294 0.278729 0.330285 0.388108 0.450628 0.522999
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.178212 0.224869 0.276935 0.338745 0.409528 0.487483 0.579248
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.162165 0.212812 0.270743 0.341000 0.422998 0.514811 0.624505
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.147842 0.201437 0.264186 0.341808 0.433983 0.538734 0.665543
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.134321 0.189879 0.256417 0.340291 0.441518 0.558146 0.701041
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.124670 0.182309 0.252774 0.343109 0.453703 0.582655 0.742293
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.118754 0.178961 0.253913 0.351412 0.472245 0.614566 0.792293
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.110200 0.171552 0.249422 0.352287 0.481402 0.635071 0.828678
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.104912 0.168078 0.249624 0.358785 0.497300 0.663616 0.874725
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.100455 0.165399 0.250592 0.366056 0.514045 0.693174 0.922092
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.093160 0.158510 0.245887 0.366046 0.521856 0.712213 0.957370
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.087197 0.153119 0.242873 0.367993 0.531999 0.734085 0.996194
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.080563 0.146319 0.237579 0.366622 0.537662 0.750265 1.027999
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.077028 0.143860 0.238082 0.372857 0.553097 0.778697 1.075088
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.072035 0.138864 0.234766 0.373708 0.561355 0.798013 1.110855
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.067170 0.133744 0.231002 0.373718 0.568342 0.815633 1.144499
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.062070 0.127908 0.225914 0.371642 0.572363 0.829341 1.173173
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.058688 0.124620 0.224374 0.374384 0.582752 0.851220 1.212257
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.057117 0.124217 0.227050 0.383062 0.601188 0.883613 1.264902
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.053628 0.120355 0.224343 0.383914 0.608893 0.902015 1.299711
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.051846 0.119306 0.225836 0.390768 0.624819 0.931236 1.348548